Alex De Minaur
De Minaur is simply dominating this tournament: he remains the only player in this tournament who has not yet lost and, moreover, he has done so by losing only 3 sets in 4 matches played. The most intense match the Australian had to play was the semi-final against F. Tiafoe, where, despite leading 2-0 in sets, he lost the 3rd set without winning a game but recovered in the 4th set and celebrated victory. In that match, De Minaur won an incredible 40% of points on the American's serve, which is an incredibly high number and shows how well the Australian plays in defense. Alex also capitalized on all break opportunities, taking advantage of all 4 chances to break his opponent's serve. Considering how strong the Australian has looked throughout the season and how dominant he appears in this tournament, he is the undisputed favorite to win this tournament.
Jannik Sinner
The Italian is also playing a good tournament, but he has not been as dominant throughout the season as his opponent today. Sinner reached the final after a tough 4-set battle with Serbian M. Kecmanovic. Although the Italian started the match poorly and lost the first set, he recovered in the next set and won the match 3-1. An impressive aspect of that match was the Italian's first serve percentage, which reached 70% and allowed him to win 90% of points on his first serve. In any case, today will be the toughest match of the tournament for him, and to win, the Italian will need to show much more than in previous matches.
Head-to-Head History
These young players have never played against each other in official ATP matches, and this will be their first encounter.
Prediction
Italian J. Sinner will undoubtedly receive support from the crowd, as the match will take place in Italy. This might help him win more points than expected under other circumstances, but considering how unstoppable the Australian looks, the spectators will likely be disappointed. De Minaur is a much stronger player today and should prove it tonight by winning one of the most important titles of the season.
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