Postflop statistics

Postflop statistics

Let's review the postflop stats: continuation bet, cheskraise, fold to checkraise and fold to bet (OOP - out of position).

  • If someone plays a continuation bet too often. There are three main startegies against such a player. The first is to checkraise more often, the second is to call with weaker hands (e.g. low pairs), and the third is to float against them more often. Of course, floating is a potential option and must be done wisely if it is to be effective.

Please note that, contrary to what most players tend to believe, leading with a wider renge in OOP is not the reason for a higher c-bet frequency. The OOP lead-in range does not affect anything unless the player plays poorly against the OOP lead-in. The OOP lead simply bypasses the c-bet game by creating a different dynamic. We have nothing against OOP lead, but if you use OOP lead against frequent c-betting, then you are making a mistake in adapting. However, you have a good chance to increase your EV just by letting the player c-bet and then exploiting it.

  • If someone does continuation but too infrequently, it can be difficult. In this case, it can be difficult to exploit a good player, especially if he is well balanced and organises his handrange wisely on the flop and turn. But when playing against a weaker player, you can exploit his passivity by simply winning a lot more pots than him.
    Call'ink preflop with a wider range, so you're more likely to get 4 free cards (flop and turn) and lead'ink the turn. Respect this player's c-bets and checkraise less against him. You can do a lot of OOP leading against a weaker player of this type, not to take advantage of his infrequent c-bets, but because such a passive strategy shows that he is not a risk-taker and will rarely respond to your actions.
  • If someone checkraises too much, you should reduce the frequency of your flop c-bet before the checkraiser. Checkback with weak hands (both air and weak pairs), 3-bet more often into his checkraises both with value hands and bluffing, and float into some of his checkraises. As usual, floating is a potential solution, so you should also play aggressively on the turn, or double float occasionally.
  • If someone checksraises too little, it can again be a deceptive situation. Often it depends on other factors too. If someone rarely checkraises and frequently calls your c-
    bets, which means that he floats to you when he's not in position and calls a lot of high card hands. To counter this, you can simply increase the frequency of your turn and river barrels. If he checksraises infrequently but folds normally, or slightly less than the norm, then he seems to be slowplaying with strong hands that other players would checkraise with, so be careful on the later streets. If the player chesckraises infrequently and folds often, then he's just burning money and you're left with a lot of c-
    bet'inti.
  • If the opponent is taking off the checkraises too often. Aggressively checkraise'ink him. This is one of your most profitable opponents.
  • If a player folds too infrequently against checkraises. Checkraise'ink such an opponent with
    a narrower range, leaning more towards value hands. When you checkraise, you'll have more barrel'ins on the turn and river, especially when you hit a draw, as it's a frequent float'ins, or simply a weaker hand. Against a passive player who folds easily after getting a bit of pressure, you can use the standard checkraise frequency. If he throws money around, folding on many turns with small pairs and other poor hands, this can also be a profitable strategy.
  • If someone folds into OOP bets too often, a lot of lead'ink OOP bluffing.
  • If a player folds to OOP bets too infrequently, lead'ink OOP only with a good hand.

As hands move to the turn and river, they become more complex and there is more correlation between the different phases of the hand (e.g.: You have to think how did the player play the draw before he got here? What cards did he bluff with on the flop? How does he distribute his value hands?). You have to holistically analyse the other player's handranges and figure out which hands your opponent is using and which ones he is discarding in his game structure. Ultimately, the principles of adaptation in postflop remain similar anyway.

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