Christian Garin
Christian is considered one of the most improved tennis players this year. On June 10th of this year, he achieved the best ranking of his career, reaching 32nd place, whereas around the same time last year in mid-July, he was only 164th. This is a huge leap, but such significant changes don't happen by chance. Garin's playing style is perfectly suited to clay courts, which he prefers the most. The Chilean likes to play the ball and sharpen situations when a good opportunity arises, he also plays excellently from the baseline and, most importantly, has a good mentality, which is crucial for climbing the rankings. This season, Christian has already played 27 matches on clay, winning as many as 21! Winning finals in Munich and Houston and reaching the final in São Paulo are his best achievements so far. He was a bit unlucky in the French Open, as in the second round, the Chilean had to play against Stan Wawrinka, who left no chance for the younger opponent. In any case, considering the level Garin is playing on clay this season, he is a clear favorite in tomorrow's match. In the video below, you can see episodes of the Chilean's game. https://www.atptour.com/en/players/christian-garin/gd64/overview here you can find more information about the player.
Jeremy Chardy ( https://www.atptour.com/en/players/jeremy-chardy/ca12/overview )
The best years of the 32-year-old Frenchman, currently ranked 80th, are behind him. Today, he is an average player who can play one or another match well, but achieving something more is already difficult. Chardy's best career results are on clay courts, but this season even that doesn't help: he has won only 5 out of 12 matches on clay, and the best achievement of the season is reaching the R16 in the ATP1000 tournament in Madrid, where he lost to Djokovic. Chardy is one of those players from whom it is hard to expect anything, as when dark clouds gather, the Frenchman does not hesitate to give away sets with dry results. Chardy has a fairly good serve, can play the ball well, and hit hard, but he has slowed down and is also prone to “losing his head,” so tomorrow's match will undoubtedly be very difficult against the young and in-form Chilean. In the video below, you can see episodes of the Frenchman's game.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfP4o2U9CSU&fbclid=IwAR0sKdhivtI0XA5UflK4eAI8uvSyWbJkNiZIFumpB2Iz-Czhsypy8FE3H8Y
Head-to-Head Matches
Probably the only positive thing on Chardy's side in tomorrow's match is the head-to-head match history: he has won 3 out of 4 matches played against Ch. Garin. Essentially, this is a rather misleading fact, as all 3 matches that the Frenchman won were played before 2017, when the Chilean was only 20 years old and far from his current form. Garin managed to win the 2019 match in Houston in 3 sets.
Prediction
It can be seen that bookmakers have quite significantly considered the head-to-head match history, as the odds for Ch. Garin's victory are too high considering the level at which both tennis players are playing today. Bet365 gives odds of 1.57 for Garin's victory, while Olybet offers a choice with 1.68. The real odds, considering the circumstances, for Garin's victory should be ~1.35-1.4, so using the Olybet option already gives us a significant advantage over the bookmaker. In any case, we suggest choosing -1.5 game advantage with 1.9 odds, as the Chilean should cover the suggested advantage. With a smaller bankroll percentage, you can risk taking Garin's 2-0 victory, 2.6 odds here are also somewhat too high and have value.
