England

Playing at home in Wembley Stadium, the English team will seek to avenge the humiliation they suffered at the hands of the German team in the 2010 World Cup round of 16, where the Germans crushed the English team 4-1. This Euro 2020 championship is going quite well for the English – they and the Italian team are the only teams in the group stage that haven't conceded a single goal. However, speaking of the English, although they didn't concede any goals in the group stage, they managed to score only 2 goals themselves.

Raheem Sterling scored the only goal in the match against the Czech Republic, and the same Raheem Sterling led the English to a 1-0 victory in the opening match against Croatia. The English couldn't win against the Scots, and the match ended 0-0, so the English team’s total of 7 points in the group was enough to advance to the next stage in the first position.

The English will enter the match against Germany unbeaten in 9 consecutive games, and the last goal conceded by the English team was in March, against the Polish team. It will be interesting to see what tactical scheme the English will choose. In this tournament, they mostly played 4-2-3-1, although many experts believe the English team looked best playing with three defenders. If the English team manages to win in regular time, it would be the first time in English football history that this team wins a European Championship knockout match in regular time.

Germany

The German team survived the “group of death,” where they had to fight against the European champions Portugal, the world champions France, and the also well-performing Hungarian team. However, the Germans were close to not making it to the knockout stage if they had lost to the Hungarians, but Goretzka's goal in the 84th minute and the resulting draw allowed the Germans to take second place in the group with 4 points.

The Germans' performance in the group stage resembled a roller coaster – a rather lackluster performance in the opening match against the French, followed by an excellent game and a convincing 4-2 victory against the Portuguese team. In the decisive match, where an easy victory against the Hungarians was expected, the Germans had to chase and were saved only at the very end of the match. Although Germany is no longer the dominant team it was 7 years ago in Brazil, historically, European Championships have been successful for the Germans: in the last 3 European Championships, the German team managed to reach the semifinals.

To achieve victory against the strong English team playing in their arena, the German team cannot make the same gross mistakes we saw in the match against Hungary. We can hardly expect the Germans to create as many chances as they did against the Portuguese, so everything will depend on how well they can capitalize on them and defend themselves, as the Germans have not demonstrated stability in defense in this championship and on average concede more than 2 goals per match.

Predicted starting lineups:

England:
Pickford; Walker, Stones, Maguire, Shaw; Rice, Phillips; Foden, Grealish, Sterling; Kane;

Germany:
Neuer; Ginter, Hummels, Rudiger; Kimmich, Kroos, Goretzka, Gosens; Havertz, Muller; Gnabry.

Prediction

Bookmakers consider the English team a slight favorite in this match. The fact that the English are playing at Wembley Stadium gives them a slight advantage, but overall these teams are quite evenly matched. However, the German team is much more experienced, and for many of these players, this could be the last chance to play for the national team, so we should see highly motivated and top-performing Germans. The match should be competitive, but betting on the German team has more value than betting on England.