{"id":860924,"date":"2019-07-30T11:39:05","date_gmt":"2019-07-30T09:39:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/poker-abc-implied-odds-och-expected-value"},"modified":"2025-04-29T00:08:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T22:08:02","slug":"poker-abc-implied-odds-och-expected-value","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/poker-abc-imlicerade-odds-och-forvantat-varde","title":{"rendered":"Poker ABC &#8211; Implied Odds och Expected Value"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"750\" src=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw.jpeg\" alt=\"Implied odds, Expected value\" class=\"wp-image-758389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw.jpeg 1000w, https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw-768px-576px.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw-678px-510px.jpeg 678w, https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw-160px-120px.jpeg 160w, https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/1-jaj2dM6JsFivS6UDAMirxw-621px-466px.jpeg 621w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_76 ez-toc-wrap-left counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Inneh\u00e5llsf\u00f6rteckning<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/poker-abc-imlicerade-odds-och-forvantat-varde\/#Var_ar_det_bast_att_spela_poker\" >Var \u00e4r det b\u00e4st att spela poker?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/poker-abc-imlicerade-odds-och-forvantat-varde\/#Var_ar_det_bast_att_spela_poker-2\" >Var \u00e4r det b\u00e4st att spela poker?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Var_ar_det_bast_att_spela_poker\"><\/span>Var \u00e4r det b\u00e4st att spela poker?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n<div class='widget-card placeholder--card'\n     data-source-gql='https:\/\/scg-new-live.stellate.sh\/'\n     data-source-widgetjs='https:\/\/widget.affprojects.com\/widget.js'\n     data-shortcode='widget-card'\n     data-shortcode-text='[top-poker-rooms-for-post]'\n     data-props='{\n\"show_more_button\":true,\n\"show_more_button_text\":\"Show More Bookmakers\",\n\"show_more_text\":false,\n\"show_less_text\":false,\n\"vpn_notification\":false,\n\"show_more_items_amount\":null,\n\"scrollable\":\"always\",\n\"violet_bonus_text\":true,\n\"ab_testing_show_more_button_rework\":true\n}'\n     data-queries='{\n\"type\":\"TOP-Poker\",\n\"limit\":10,\n\"mobile_limit\":10,\n\"show_new\":1,\n\"button_text_type\":\"TOP\",\n\"language\":\"sv\",\n\"project\":\"PM\",\n\"page\":1\n}'\n     ><\/div>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/pokerio-abc-pot-odds\">I den f\u00f6rra artikeln om pokergrunderna<\/a> diskuterade vi ett enkelt men mycket viktigt koncept &#8211; <i>pot odds. <\/i>Denna g\u00e5ng kommer vi att diskutera en f\u00f6rl\u00e4ngning av begreppet &#8211; <em>implied odds<\/em>. Ber\u00e4kning av <i>pot odds<\/i> g\u00f6r det enkelt f\u00f6r spelaren att ber\u00e4kna den teoretiska l\u00f6nsamheten av vissa beslut. <\/p>\n<p>Vi har m\u00e4rkt att om vi blint ber\u00e4knar de givna sannolikheterna matematiskt, kommer vi ofta inte ha n\u00e5gon grund f\u00f6r att svara p\u00e5 motst\u00e5ndarens satsning (dvs. vi kommer mer s\u00e4llan att fullborda v\u00e5r <i>flush<\/i> och <i>straight draw<\/i> \u00e4n de givna sannolikheterna). <\/p>\n<p>Att svara p\u00e5 en satsning som ger 25% <i>pot odds<\/i> med 18% chans att fullborda sin <i>draw<\/i> \u00e4r ett -EV-beslut.<\/p>\n<p>Vanligtvis skulle detta inneb\u00e4ra att vi borde sl\u00e4ppa m\u00e5nga av v\u00e5ra <i>draws<\/i> mot de flesta satsningar. N\u00e4r vi observerar bra pokerspelares spel kommer vi att se att de ofta svarar p\u00e5 b\u00e5de halva potten och procentuellt st\u00f6rre satsningar n\u00e4r de har <i>flush<\/i> eller <i>straight draw<\/i>. <\/p>\n<p>S\u00e5dana beslut m\u00f6jligg\u00f6rs av ett begrepp n\u00e4ra besl\u00e4ktat med <i>pot odds<\/i> &#8211; <i>implied odds<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><i>Implied odds<\/i> \u00e4r en f\u00f6rl\u00e4ngning av <i>pot odds<\/i> och inneb\u00e4r den extra m\u00e4ngden marker som en spelare kommer att tj\u00e4na om hans <i>draw<\/i> fullbordas. Till exempel:<\/p>\n<p>Hero: 7s6s<\/p>\n<p>Villain: Kd Qh<\/p>\n<p>Pot: 4 BB<\/p>\n<p>Flop: Kc 5d 8h<\/p>\n<p>Villain satsning: 2 BB<\/p>\n<p>Hero: Call<\/p>\n<p>Turn: Kc 5d 8h 9x<\/p>\n<p>I en s\u00e5dan situation kommer motst\u00e5ndaren sannolikt att forts\u00e4tta sina satsningar n\u00e4r turn-kortet kommer upp eller vara ben\u00e4gen att svara p\u00e5 en liten satsning n\u00e4r river-kortet kommer upp. Naturligtvis, om motst\u00e5ndaren bluffar, kan han ofta forts\u00e4tta bluffa p\u00e5 <i>turn<\/i> och <i>river<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><i>Implied odds<\/i>, \u00e4ven om det \u00e4r n\u00e5got mer abstrakt \u00e4n <i>pot odds<\/i>, till\u00e5ter ibland att svara p\u00e5 vissa satsningar med vetskapen om att om v\u00e5r <i>draw<\/i> fullbordas kommer vi att \u00f6vertr\u00e4ffa motst\u00e5ndaren och han kommer att svara (eller sj\u00e4lv forts\u00e4tta) p\u00e5 v\u00e5r satsning.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00e5 ibland n\u00e4r vi svarar p\u00e5 satsningar och bara har en draw, g\u00f6r vi -EV-beslut (dvs. vi f\u00f6rlorar teoretiskt pengar). <i>Implied odds<\/i> s\u00e4ger att ibland genom att g\u00f6ra -EV-beslut kan vi \u00e5terf\u00e5 mycket mer EV i senare gator om vi fullbordar v\u00e5r <i>draw<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Genom att svara p\u00e5 satsningar p\u00e5 <i>flop<\/i> kan vi ha en extra anledning till denna handling &#8211; motst\u00e5ndarens <i>turn<\/i> checkning. Om vi svarar p\u00e5 en halva potten satsning p\u00e5 <i>flop<\/i>, men motst\u00e5ndaren checkar <i>turn<\/i>, f\u00e5r vi i s\u00e5 fall tv\u00e5 kort f\u00f6r att fullborda v\u00e5r <i>draw<\/i> till priset av en satsning. <\/p>\n<p>Naturligtvis kan vi aldrig veta i f\u00f6rv\u00e4g om motst\u00e5ndaren kommer att missa en satsning eller inte, men genom att observera spelarens tendenser, <a href=\"https:\/\/poker.stackexchange.com\/questions\/1045\/the-right-bluff-frequency\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bluff-frekvensen\/s\u00e4llsyntheten<\/a>, kan vi ibland l\u00e4gga till sannolikheten f\u00f6r en <i>turn<\/i> check till de extra anledningarna.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Implied Odds vs Pot Odds in Poker\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OdScsD2k9eQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>OBS! <i>Implied odds<\/i> anv\u00e4nds f\u00f6r bra <em>draws<\/em>, ofta till\u00e4mpas det endast f\u00f6r dragning av ett kort och sm\u00e5\/medelstora satsningar. Detta pokerkoncept b\u00f6r inte \u00f6verutnyttjas, eftersom ju st\u00f6rre satsning vi svarar p\u00e5 med en <i>draw<\/i> (dvs. ju st\u00f6rre -EV-beslut vi g\u00f6r) desto mer beh\u00f6ver vi \u00e5terf\u00e5 marker n\u00e4r det fullbordas. Motst\u00e5ndaren kan helt enkelt v\u00e4lja att inte svara p\u00e5 s\u00e5dana stora <i>raises<\/i> eller satsningar, vilket skulle f\u00f6rvandla ett tidigare -EV-beslut till +EV.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Var_ar_det_bast_att_spela_poker-2\"><\/span>Var \u00e4r det b\u00e4st att spela poker?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n<div class='widget-card placeholder--card'\n     data-source-gql='https:\/\/scg-new-live.stellate.sh\/'\n     data-source-widgetjs='https:\/\/widget.affprojects.com\/widget.js'\n     data-shortcode='widget-card'\n     data-shortcode-text='[top-poker-rooms-for-post]'\n     data-props='{\n\"show_more_button\":true,\n\"show_more_button_text\":\"Show More Bookmakers\",\n\"show_more_text\":false,\n\"show_less_text\":false,\n\"vpn_notification\":false,\n\"show_more_items_amount\":null,\n\"scrollable\":\"always\",\n\"violet_bonus_text\":true,\n\"ab_testing_show_more_button_rework\":true\n}'\n     data-queries='{\n\"type\":\"TOP-Poker\",\n\"limit\":10,\n\"mobile_limit\":10,\n\"show_new\":1,\n\"button_text_type\":\"TOP\",\n\"language\":\"sv\",\n\"project\":\"PM\",\n\"page\":1\n}'\n     ><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Var \u00e4r det b\u00e4st att spela poker? I den f\u00f6rra&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4481,"featured_media":758389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8496,5885,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-860924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-poker-stratejisi","category-pokerstrategi","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=860924"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860924\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1095338,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860924\/revisions\/1095338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/758389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=860924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=860924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=860924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}