{"id":881509,"date":"2015-09-25T14:27:46","date_gmt":"2015-09-25T12:27:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/paredzeta-vertiba-expected-value"},"modified":"2025-04-29T01:23:06","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T23:23:06","slug":"paredzeta-vertiba-expected-value","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/sagaidama-vertiba-novertiba","title":{"rendered":"Paredz\u0113t\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba (expected value)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ja r\u016bp\u012bgi las\u0101t pokera strat\u0113\u0123iju gr\u0101matas<\/a> vai m\u016bsu rakstus par pokeru<\/a> t\u012bmek\u013ca vietn\u0113, j\u016bs atk\u0101rtoti atrad\u012bsiet apgalvojumus, ka slikti pokera sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ji var uzvar\u0113t \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101<\/a>, bet zaud\u0113s ilgtermi\u0146\u0101. Pret\u0113jais noteikums attiecas uz profesion\u0101\u013ciem un \u013coti labiem sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jiem. Vi\u0146i var zaud\u0113t \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101, bet parasti uzvar\u0113s ilgtermi\u0146\u0101.<\/p>\n

K\u0101p\u0113c tie\u0161i t\u0101? Tas ir saist\u012bts ar j\u0113dzienu, kas paz\u012bstams k\u0101 pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba (expected value) [Video]<\/strong><\/a>. Pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba ir j\u016bsu paredzam\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a no likmes summas. Piem\u0113ram, pie\u0146emsim, ka j\u016bs der\u0113jat ar mani mest mon\u0113tu. Ja tas ir \u0123erbonis, es jums dodu 100Ls. Ja tas ir cipars, j\u016bs man dodat 1Ls. Vai teor\u0113tiski jums vajadz\u0113tu piekrist der\u012bb\u0101m (\u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101, ka metiens ir god\u012bgs un iesp\u0113ja izkrist \u0123erbonim vai ciparam ir 50-50)?<\/p>\n

Protams! Ir 50% iesp\u0113ja izkrist \u0123erbonim, kas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka j\u016bs uzvarat 100Ls. T\u0101tad, j\u016bsu paredzam\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a ir 50Ls (0.50 * 100Ls). Ja izkr\u012bt cipars, j\u016bs zaud\u0113jat 1Ls. T\u0101tad, j\u016bsu paredzamais zaud\u0113jums ir 0.50Ls (0.50 * 1Ls). J\u016bsu paredzam\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a ir paredzam\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a m\u012bnus paredzamais zaud\u0113jums. T\u0101tad, j\u016bsu paredzam\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a ir 49.50Ls.<\/p>\n

Ir skaidrs, ka j\u016bs neuzvar\u0113siet 49.50Ls. J\u016bs uzvar\u0113siet 100Ls vai zaud\u0113siet 1Ls. Tom\u0113r, jums vajadz\u0113tu skat\u012bties uz likmi k\u0101 uz \u201euzvaru\u201d 49.50Ls. Rezult\u0101ti azartsp\u0113l\u0113s \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101 ir ietekm\u0113ti no nejau\u0161\u012bbas, vai poker\u0101 bie\u017ei izmantot\u0101 termina pokera vari\u0101cijas<\/a>. Tom\u0113r ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 j\u016bsu rezult\u0101ti \u013coti tuvu atspogu\u013cos j\u016bsu pl\u0101noto v\u0113rt\u012bbu. Ja m\u0113s mestu mon\u0113tu k\u0101 piem\u0113ru miljonu rei\u017eu, j\u016bsu gal\u012bg\u0101 pe\u013c\u0146a b\u016btu \u012bpa\u0161i tuvu 49.5 milj. Ls.<\/p>\n

T\u0101tad, k\u0101 pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba tiek piem\u0113rota pokera sp\u0113l\u0113? Visredzam\u0101kais pl\u0101not\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas piem\u0113rs ir pot odds teorija (t\u0101pat implied odds, reverse implied odds utt.)<\/a>. Pot odds teorija nor\u0101da, ka jums vajadz\u0113tu veikt pirkumu (draw) tikai tad, ja jums ir pozit\u012bva pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba.<\/p>\n

Citi pl\u0101not\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas piem\u0113ri ir par\u0101d\u012bti sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101kos g\u0101jienos zem\u0101k.<\/p>\n

Blefo\u0161ana un atbild\u0113\u0161ana uz blefiem ir atkar\u012bga no pl\u0101not\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas. Kad j\u016bs blefojat, jums pr\u0101t\u0101 vajadz\u0113tu aptuveni apr\u0113\u0137in\u0101t blefa izdo\u0161an\u0101s iesp\u0113jam\u012bbu. \u0160\u012b izdo\u0161an\u0101s iesp\u0113jam\u012bba b\u016btu j\u0101sal\u012bdzina ar pl\u0101noto v\u0113rt\u012bbu un tai vajadz\u0113tu b\u016bt pozit\u012bvai. Piem\u0113ram, ja bank\u0101 ir 100$ un es blefoju, liekot 50$, man vajag, lai blefs izdotos 33% (\u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101, ka atbildes gad\u012bjum\u0101 man ir 0% iesp\u0113ja uzvar\u0113t). Tas ir t\u0101p\u0113c, ka man ir j\u0101uzvar 1 no 3 reiz\u0113m, lai neciestu zaud\u0113jumus.<\/p>\n

Pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba ar\u012b pal\u012bdz izskaidrot at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bbas starp liel\u0101m k\u013c\u016bd\u0101m un maz\u0101m k\u013c\u016bd\u0101m. Lielas k\u013c\u016bdas notiek, kad sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101js pie\u0146em l\u0113mumu, kuram ir \u013coti liela negat\u012bva pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba, savuk\u0101rt maza k\u013c\u016bda ir tad, kad sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101js izlai\u017e nelielu pl\u0101noto v\u0113rt\u012bbu.<\/p>\n

\"kaip<\/a>Ja pl\u0101nojat sp\u0113l\u0113t daudz pokeru, jums vajadz\u0113tu galu gal\u0101 zin\u0101t savu stundas sp\u0113les pl\u0101noto v\u0113rt\u012bbu. Lai to izdar\u012btu, jums b\u016bs nepiecie\u0161ams veikt prec\u012bzus pierakstus. To var izdar\u012bt, izmantojot specializ\u0113tu pokera uzskaites programmu, piem\u0113ram, Holdem Manager<\/strong><\/a> vai PokerTracker<\/strong><\/a>. P\u0113c k\u0101da laika j\u016bs var\u0113siet pamatoti apr\u0113\u0137in\u0101t savu pl\u0101noto pe\u013c\u0146u vai zaud\u0113jumu stund\u0101 (jums vajadz\u0113tu nosp\u0113l\u0113t vismaz 200 stundas taj\u0101 pa\u0161\u0101 viet\u0101 un limit\u0101, lai ieg\u016btu atbilsto\u0161u rezult\u0101tu).<\/p>\n

Pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba ir v\u0113l viens iemesls, k\u0101p\u0113c jums nekad nevajadz\u0113tu sp\u0113l\u0113t sp\u0113li, kuru nevarat at\u013cauties. Ja baid\u012bsieties zaud\u0113t, j\u016bs nev\u0113l\u0113sieties sp\u0113l\u0113t, kad jums b\u016bs neliela priek\u0161roc\u012bba. Da\u017e\u0101s rok\u0101s j\u016bs izlaid\u012bsiet daudz pl\u0101not\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas, kas, visticam\u0101k, kopum\u0101 padar\u012bs j\u016bs par zaud\u0113t\u0101ju sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ju.<\/p>\n

Kur vislab\u0101k sp\u0113l\u0113t pokeru?<\/h2>\n\n
<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pl\u0101not\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bba Ja r\u016bp\u012bgi las\u0101t pokera strat\u0113\u0123iju gr\u0101matas vai m\u016bsu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":72,"featured_media":764046,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8496,6195,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-881509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-poker-stratejisi","category-pokera-strategija","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/72"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=881509"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881509\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1105102,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881509\/revisions\/1105102"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/764046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=881509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=881509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=881509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}